Friday, July 6, 2018

Beryl 7/6/18 and Potential Cyclone off NC Coast?

Beryl became the first hurricane of the 2018 Atlantic Hurricane Season overnight and there has been changes to the initial forecast at the National Hurricane Center (NHC)

And we have a disturbance that could be a tropical depression or named storm in the next few days.

Up above is the 5 day forecast for Beryl. A couple things to note:

1. As you will see in the satellite image in a minute, Beryl is a very small storm comapred to normal standards.

2. The forecast does not have Beryl making it though Wednesday. What does that mean? Here's the deal:

A. It will engage in either Hispaniola or Cuba, making it weak and with its size, those islands that have mountains and hills will tear the circulation up.

B. Shear (Wind in the air) gets control of Beryl and ripping it to pieces before it gets to those bigger islands.

C. It dodges both shear and the islands and becomes a threat toward Jamaica or the Cayman Islands in the middle of the next week.

I'm leaning toward A at the moment. Certainly Cuba is a big enough island to tear apart a storm, Haiti and the Dominican Republic are also large.

Past five days if/whatever is left will be headed north near the Bahamas as a weather pattern will pick it up and make it turn north and northeast. When it does that, the timing for the turn will be critical to whether effects will be felt in one nation or the other.

Of course, none of that matters if Beryl doesn't survive.

What you are looking at is the satellite image. If you look at it closely, right under the cloud break below the outflow, that's where the center of it is. It hasn't popped out an eye yet (Typically when hurricanes get higher at category 1 range, an eye will start to be seen, it hasn't happened yet)

HERE AND NOW

Strength: 80 mph, category 1
Movement: West at 15 mph (It's moving briskly)
Location: Near 1,000 miles away from Barbados and St. Lucia
Intensity: 994 mb (The lower the pressure, stronger or broader the storm is)

IMPACT
This will greatly depend on whether Beryl can make it to the Lesser Antilles or not. Either way, rain and wind will be on the rise for islands like Martinique, Dominica, St. Lucia, Barbados and others.

It is looking more likely that it will make it though those islands as a tropical disturbance. Water won't be the concern with this (Regarding water rise) but rain and wind could be (at least rain)

Beryl will roll though the islands Sunday night and Monday. Hurricane/Tropical Storm watches could be put up later today if required.

NORTH CAROLINA FEATURE

A cluster of thunderstorms has a high chance (80%) of forming in the next five days. It will drift toward the Carolinas this weekend and might sit and spin for a day or two next week before it gets picked up and taken out to sea.

Thursday, July 5, 2018

My Thoughts On Political Developments

Man, man, man good fucking job liberals. Excellent job.

That was 100% sarcastic if you need to know that. By now, I'm sure we saw the video about a guy attacking a person at a Whataburger for wearing "Make America Great Again" hat. What the fuck is going on out here with you all? Let's dive into the subject shall we?

1. All you are going to do is for people to see that and stay away from you and vote either Independent and Republican.

2. How do you all get so mindfucked over a hat?? Seriously, the guy supports a dude that you don't. Get over it. You lost in November 2016 this is July 5th 2018. Give me a break.

3. We (the general population that has a brain) are tired of being called racists when we are not, a nazi when we are not and scumbags when we are not. Yes there is shady people on the right.

Disclaimer: I'm not a democrat, I'm not a republican. I'm an independent. I independently look at every fucking thing and develop my own fucking opinion.

When is the people on the left going to realize all they're doing and switching people away from you and you're not doing any favors to anyone? You gave something for Trump to tweet and look and say "See? This is why we got to go and prove these guys wrong."

In November, I can assure you if the Democrats lose more seats in the congress, they will be rioting in the streets and killing people because YOU FUCKING LOST. Much like a sporting game, a bingo contest, a drinking event, there's a loser. YOU ARE NOT GOING TO GET YOUR WAY EVERY TIME. Yeah, good deal.

Will the Republicans riot? I'm 60/40 no on that. Didn't do it when Obama won both terms, also in 2006 when the Democrats gained majority control.

Listen, Democrats. You are not all bad people. Just have different opinions then the other party. Had someone contend to me last night that America hates us. Three things:

1. Sore losers: How many times did we see CNN, MSNBC and even FOX tell you Trump is Hilter and all that? It's really not your fault most of you because the media fed it to you but you got Maxime Waters calling for attacks on Republicans. We got Nancy Pelosi saying goofy ass shit all day and we have Rosie O'Donnell calling for Martial Law. FOR WHAT??

Granted there are Republicans that say BS all the time but most of the time are not verified people with millions of followers on social media.

2. Hypocrisy: Remember Waters? She lives outside her district, has a $5 million dollar home and her district is among the worst in Los Angeles/Anaheim. We can attack them (Republicans) but they can't attack us back. During the Abolish ICE movement, the reason why the officials were there was to get people who used children for sex trafficking off the streets and into prison cells. And you protest that??

When Obama was in office he put children for trafficking as well. STOP THE BULLSHIT!! Stop it but of course the media won't put it on as top story, I wonder why.

There is over 2 million American children homeless, and over 40,000 American Veterans are homeless yet Democrats are not talking about them at all? If they care so much about people, WHERE ARE THEY?? Because they want to be pathetic and hate Trump every chance they get instead of maybe working with him like the Founding Fathers wanted them to do.

3. Much like communism. Many Liberal ideas are great on paper. "We're going to put the environment over the economy" Only a couple of very big flaws with that.

A) Do you realize that most of the pollution is coming from:

- Third world countries
- China and India

Those nations don't care about it and will ruin the planet long before we will.

AND B) The reason why Trump pulled us out of the Paris Accord is that there were too many regulations and an unbalanced way of payments meaning that countries like the USA, Netherlands, UK, France have to step up more even though we pollute less stuff instead of maybe teaching China and India how not to pollute.

The EPA still has to exist though because if it doesn't it's very dangerous because there has to be something or someone to regulate all of this pollution, hazy skies, etc.

Stop being in the ring with only Democrats or only Republicans. Learn both, don't favor one every single time. And then develop your own ideas and thoughts.

Get biased media out of here. Receive actual facts instead of leaning on a political party.

Pull your head out of your ass, clean the shit off and take a look and join us in reality before you humiliate yourselves both to us and in the polls.