Strong/Severe Storms Likely Tuesday

Models are coming in good agreement that there will be a line of severe thunderstorms

on a cold front Tuesday afternoon/evening. Damaging winds (Potentially a couple above

70 mph) is expected with this line. Read more below.

TODAY: Very nice. Highs around 80. Couldn't be a better day to end Bike Week across 

the region.

TOMORROW: The start of the day could be very quiet and on Monday afternoon, I wouldn't

be shocked to see storms try to develop out ahead of the line. Any storm that does form

will have gusty winds and potential to cause heavy rain and frequent lightning.

The SPC has Alabama/Georgia/Tennessee under an enhanced risk for Tomorrow. Tornadoes,

hail and high winds are all a likelihood for them. The map is below.

It includes Huntsville, Birmingham, Chattanooga and Nashville. The slight risk clips 

Jacksonville and portions of northern Florida. The marginal risk (Dark green) comes all

the way to Orlando and the Cape. 

TUESDAY: Will be the big day for severe storms across the peninsula. An enhanced risk

is issued for northern Florida and includes Gainesville, Ocala, Jacksonville, St.

Augustine and Daytona Beach. The map is below.

From NWS Melbourne:

One or two strong storms will be possible Monday afternoon north
of Orlando. Then a powerful squall line is forecast to push east
across central Florida on Tuesday ahead of the cold front. Bowing
segments along the squall line will be capable of damaging
straight line winds of 60 to 70 mph and frequent lightning
strikes. Isolated tornadoes will also be possible but will not be
the primary threat. The area of greatest concern covers Lake,
Volusia, Seminole, Orange, Osceola and Brevard counties during the
day Tuesday.

Pretty powerful language from an event that is still over 48 hours away if you ask me.

However, it justifies the situation. Pay very close attention to the weather Tuesday.

Much like in the discussion above, the primary threat will be damaging winds (espically

if the storms are solid and not cellular) and a tornado or two. It doesn't really

matter what risk you are in Tuesday, we all still have the potential for some significant

storms on Tuesday.

The main window appears to be from noon to 8pm. Please note that we could have storms

an hour or two on either side of this. Please don't worry or panic have a plan and you

will be absolutely fine. Make sure if you see this, tell you friends and neighbors

that Tuesday will be an active day around here.

If your county is under a severe thunderstorm warning Tuesday, you need to take more

precaution than you would on a normal summer day. These won't have dime size hail

and gusts to 40 or 50 mph with them. These could have gusts to 70 maybe 80 in them.

Take all safety measures needed.

As we get closer, let me give some resources that will help:

NWS Melbourne

NWS Melbourne Facebook

WFTV (ABC) Weather

What To Do During A Severe Thunderstorm

Another update tomorrow.